-----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-----

In article ,
davidof wrote:
private wrote:
"Booker C. Bense"
bbense+rec.skiing.backcountry.Oct.12.05@telemark. slac.stanford.edu wrote

Pilots have a handy phrase for this that
I can't google at the moment. Basically, you're most dangerous
when you have enough experience stop overestimating the risk,
but because of your false sense of expertise you begin
underestimating the risk.

Reminds me of the accident on of the Kennedys had flying out at night to
Martha's Vineyard.

_ That's the context that I first heard it, it has do with the
number of flight hours and expertise. This is as close as I could
find.

"When you become confident, be three times as careful"

The number that seems to come up a lot is 200-500 hours. Which
would be about 30 -60 days of backcountry skiing.

_ Booker C. Bense

-----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE-----
Version: 2.6.2

iQCVAwUBQ0/eomTWTAjn5N/lAQEx6wQAlf+h0exq4CJBCsgD/GtkkChPP0piSDYs
edjzBAC/FUtR70wST78oARHnZWBVhFg8SD2WiBhOT7m3QPOJJF/VhGxiasDVgclI
X6QFdhZQv6evEVc8KQYnB2zz1rP+2ZSbNPcIRrt4ADDcgoqVDt QQ+06P40n9axeK
cikqpT5Qj9o=
=38HG
-----END PGP SIGNATURE-----